Economics is no exact science. This is clear at least with the fact that economists contradict grossly one another. Such a thing can never happen to arithmetic. While in the academic world what matters is ciphers and proofs adduced, in the world of economics ruling are the rumors, power and psychology.
The Russian poet Brodsky, in his natural philosophy, affirmed that money is the fifth element. And it is as hard to manage it as it is so about the rest four elements, as in this matter we have to deal with nervous fantasy, dangerous prejudices and bodiless abstraction. Can a normal person imagine that trillion and a half of dollars that the American stock exchange lost this Monday? And can anyone explain where that money went to, where it came from and – the main question – when it will come back. Everyone, who tried to explain that, they shouted at one another so loudly that I had to turn down my TV set. Exactly that way – in the dumb mode - the connoisseurs advise to listen to presidential TV debates. All the really important information is given away unintentionally, without any necessity to open one’s mouth. The tongue tries to distract us from the truth, while the gesture, pose and grimace betrays everything. At least, this happens with a television picture. Marshal McLuen affirmed that if television had been created before the radio, the world would not have had Lenin and Hitler. In his terminology, the television is a cold media; it does not stand the ideological scandals. An experienced politician behaves in a TV studio like a corpse in the morgue. He/She cannot afford going into passion as the screen exaggerates emotions and hot temper looks like hysterics while whispering may seem a cry.
From the gnomic point of view, McCain loses in terms of reserve. Obama looks imperturbable and calm and maybe that is even too much. He stands the attacks on him in a cool blood and responds in a bit too pedantic way, going into details, as if he was delivering a lecture.
But then McCain reacts to his rival with all the fibers of his soul and body. When listening to Obama, he smiles with distrust, he raises his eyes to the ceiling, he lifts his hands with a surprise, and he shrugs his shoulders with displeasure. Moving his feet restlessly McCain waits for his turn to get involved in the row with such an excitement that onlookers begin to feel uncomfortably watching that dance of anger and partiality. It’s even worse that – it was noticed by everyone – McCain cannot make himself look into Obama’s eyes. All that means that McCain could be dealing easier with an older adversary, a peer like John Carry, for example.
Having to deal with the opponent, chosen for him by the Democrats, McCain starts every sentence with “You don’t understand”. McCain says that Obama does not understand how and by whom the politics is made, what peace is and why the wars happen, what the average American wants and whom he should listen to. In response, Barak Obama says what he should do. He adduces figures, quotations and forecasts. But the dialog is no good, and this tournament turns out to be squeezed out, like a duel where adversaries were given different arms. McCain feels uneasy arguing with Obama, like a teacher with former pupil, even considering that this pupil has grown into a professor. All what Obama knows has been forgotten already by Obama. One is living with someone else’s mind, while the other is living in his past. They have nothing in common, including the country they are fighting in the public for the right to govern.
The McCain’s America is undoubtedly better just because it reminds of that which I saw in the Disneyland – it’s clean and light. Evil is a particular case there. It is always outside. To defeat it, the good must get united. Bush invented the axe of evil, while McCain invented the club of gentlemen-countries, like France and England. He promises that a community of developed and liberal democracies would share police functions with America.
This project seems very bright, like oleography, painted with hand. It’s clear why it is so. The failure of the 20th century makes the 21st century come back to the 19th century. About that way the future was seen by today’s adviser to McCain, Henry Kissinger, after the fall of the Berlin’s Wall: the wise sharing out of the forces, a quiet concert of nations, deliberate progress within the framework of the sensible and limits of the possible. Everyone would love to live in such a world, but it just does not exist. Bush said, however, that it does not matter, as strong presidents create their own reality. Well, another matter is that the reality is disliked by America. 80% of people consider that the country is going the wrong way. That statistics is the source of hope for Obama. Actually, he needn’t promise or prove anything. It’s enough to convince the voters that tomorrow’s McCain is the yesterday’s Bush.
It is rare that someone wins in TV debates with a knockout. The win is usually counted with points. As no one knows which blow would be decisive one, the history remembers curious incidents only. That way, it is considered that Nixon lost the first TV debates to Kennedy because he was badly shaved. Reagan defeated Mondale with one joke. Gor was defeated by Bush, because he spoke in sarcastic way. Kerry in his argument with Bush was let down by his own elitist manners. This current TV debates’ season has just begun and the voters have the right to expect scalping. At the time being, McCain and Obama, so different in a caricature-like way, are going neck and neck. Well, it’s good at least that they are going same direction.